Article
A scoring system for the identification of the ruptured aneurysm in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage and multiple intracranial aneurysms
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Published: | June 9, 2017 |
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Objective: 20% of patients suffering from aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) are harboring multiple intracranial aneurysms (MIAs). However, identifying the ruptured aneurysm in patients with MIAs can be challenging. Therefore, we developed a statistical model for the prediction of the ruptured aneurysm in patients with SAH and multiple potential bleeding sources at the time of SAH ictus.
Methods: Between 2012-2015, 424 patients harboring 791 aneurysms were admitted to the authors institution. Patients were included in a prospectively conducted database. Aneurysm and patient characteristics, as well as radiological findings were included and analyzed. A generalized, additive boosting model was used for analysis.
Results: According to the statistical prediction model the main factors used for assessing the rupture score in patients harboring multiple aneurysms were: 1) aneurysm size, 2) aneurysm localization and 3) aneurysm shape. A simplified version of the scoring system was produced for the use in the clinical setting. A score for each aneurysm is calculated according to these three factors. The aneurysm with the highest score poses the highest possibility of being the bleeding source.
Conclusion: This new and simple prediction tool might provide support for neurovascular teams for treatment decision in SAH patients harboring multiple aneurysms. However, prospective evaluation is necessary.