gms | German Medical Science

65th Annual Meeting of the German Association for Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology (GMDS), Meeting of the Central European Network (CEN: German Region, Austro-Swiss Region and Polish Region) of the International Biometric Society (IBS)

06.09. - 09.09.2020, Berlin (online conference)

Is it possible to predict the development of gender-specific premature mortality for Germany by 2030?

Meeting Abstract

Suche in Medline nach

  • Doris Bardehle - Stiftung Männergesundheit Berlin, Berlin, Germany

Deutsche Gesellschaft für Medizinische Informatik, Biometrie und Epidemiologie. 65th Annual Meeting of the German Association for Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology (GMDS), Meeting of the Central European Network (CEN: German Region, Austro-Swiss Region and Polish Region) of the International Biometric Society (IBS). Berlin, 06.-09.09.2020. Düsseldorf: German Medical Science GMS Publishing House; 2021. DocAbstr. 118

doi: 10.3205/20gmds218, urn:nbn:de:0183-20gmds2188

Veröffentlicht: 26. Februar 2021

© 2021 Bardehle.
Dieser Artikel ist ein Open-Access-Artikel und steht unter den Lizenzbedingungen der Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License (Namensnennung). Lizenz-Angaben siehe http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.


Gliederung

Text

Background: Germany has set itself the goal of reducing the premature mortality of 1-69-year-old men to 190/100,000 and of women to 100/100,000 women (age standardised) by 2030. This is intended to simultaneously increase the life expectancy of men and women.

Methods: For the years 2010 to 2017, the premature mortality of 0-69 year old men and women will be calculated and standardised to the European population. The results are extrapolated as a linear function and compared with the SDG's targets for 2030.

Results: The target for GE is to reduce premature mortality by 34% in men from 288/100,000 in 2015. For women, the value is also to be reduced by 34% from 153/100,000. According to the trend of the years 2010 to 2017, the target value cannot be achieved by 2030, the difference between men and women remains. There will be a hardly noticeable reduction of the difference in life expectancy from the current 4.82 years.

Conclusion: The target for 2030 can only be achieved with action plans. WHO Europe proposes 5 priorities to reduce premature mortality from chronic diseases and accidents:

1.
nore policy governance,
2.
gender equality,
3.
more gender-sensitive health systems,
4.
better health promotion,
5.
building a solid evidence base.

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

The authors declare that an ethics committee vote is not required.


References

1.
Federal Statistical Office / Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis). Nachhaltige Entwicklung in Deutschland, Indikatorenbericht 2018. [Sustainable Development in Germany, Indicator Report 2018]. 2018.
2.
WHO Regional Office for Europe. The heath and well-being of men in the WHO European Region. Strategy and Resolution. 2018. ISBN 978 92 8905 3532.