gms | German Medical Science

65th Annual Meeting of the German Association for Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology (GMDS), Meeting of the Central European Network (CEN: German Region, Austro-Swiss Region and Polish Region) of the International Biometric Society (IBS)

06.09. - 09.09.2020, Berlin (online conference)

Maximum Likelihood estimation under two-stage adaptive designs with finite first-stage samples

Meeting Abstract

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  • Caterina May - Università del Piemonte Orientale, Novara, Italy
  • Nancy Flournoy - University of MIssouri-Columbia, Bellingham, United States
  • Chiara Tommasi - Università degli Studi di Milano, Milano, Italy

Deutsche Gesellschaft für Medizinische Informatik, Biometrie und Epidemiologie. 65th Annual Meeting of the German Association for Medical Informatics, Biometry and Epidemiology (GMDS), Meeting of the Central European Network (CEN: German Region, Austro-Swiss Region and Polish Region) of the International Biometric Society (IBS). Berlin, 06.-09.09.2020. Düsseldorf: German Medical Science GMS Publishing House; 2021. DocAbstr. 301

doi: 10.3205/20gmds003, urn:nbn:de:0183-20gmds0031

Veröffentlicht: 26. Februar 2021

© 2021 May et al.
Dieser Artikel ist ein Open-Access-Artikel und steht unter den Lizenzbedingungen der Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License (Namensnennung). Lizenz-Angaben siehe http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.


Gliederung

Text

In this work, we study the properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the vector parameter of a non-linear model with Gaussian errors. To estimate the multidimensional parameter as precisely as possible, the experimental conditions are chosen according to a two-stage design. The observations are dependent since the second stage design follows an optimality criterion determined by the responses observed at the first stage. The MLE maximizes the whole data likelihood.

Differently from the classical literature, the first stage sample size is assumed to be finite, and hence asymptotic approximation is used only in the second stage. This assumption should improve the standard asymptotic approximation, especially for small or moderate sample size dimensions at the first stage.

We have that the consistency of the MLE maintains and we obtain its asymptotic distribution, which is a specific Gaussian mixture. The results are based on stable convergence.

We perform simulation studies in the case of some specific models.

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

The authors declare that an ethics committee vote is not required.


References

1.
Flournoy N, May C, Tommasi C. The effects of adaptation on maximum likelihood inference for non-linear models with normal errors. ArXiv. 2019. arXiv:1812.03970