Article
ICH-Score allows a reliable prediction of mortality in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage managed by fibrinolytic therapy
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Published: | June 9, 2017 |
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Objective: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is associated with high morbidity and mortality. An estimation of the prognosis would be helpful for the treatment decision-making in patients with ICH. The ICH-score was established in 2001 (Hemphill et al. Stroke) to estimate the 30-day mortality in conservatively treated patients with ICH based on known prognostic risk factors (age, poor clinical status, intraventricular hemorrhage and hematoma volume). We evaluated the reproducibility of the ICH-score for the estimation of the prognosis in ICH patients undergoing application of recombinant tissue Plasminogen Activator (rtPA) and subsequent clot lysis.
Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with supratentorial ICH managed by fibrinolytic therapy and evaluated the 30-day mortality. Then, the ICH-Score was applied to match the mortality in our patients with the mortality predicted by the ICH-Score. The ICH-Score (range 0-5) is based on parameters available at the time of diagnosis of ICH: age (<80=0 vs. >80=1), hematoma volume (<30ml=0 vs. >30ml=1), intraventricular expansion (no=0, yes=1) and initial clinical status according to the Glasgow Coma Scale (3-4=2, 5-12=1 and 13-15=0). The ICH-Score predicts the following mortality rates in conservatively treated patients with ICH: 0 = 0%, 1=13%, 2=26%, 3=72%, 4=97%, 5=100%.
Results: A total of 233 patients with ICH treated at our department by fibrinolytic therapy were analyzed. The mean age of the patients was 69 years (range 30-93) and the mean initial hematoma volume was 55ml. The 30-day mortality rate was 30% (70/233). We found a significant correlation of 30-day mortality with an intial hematoma volume >30ml (linear regression p=0.001), intraventricular hemorrhage (linear regression p=0.003) and age >80 years (linear regression p=0.01). The ICH-Score showed a significant correlation with 30-day mortality (linear regression p<0.0001). The ICH-Score estimated the following 30-day mortality rates in our cohort: 1=0% (0/13), 2=0% (0/51), 3=1.3% (1/82), 4=43% (13/31), 5=100% (56/56).
Conclusion: The ICH-Score not only allows a reliable estimation of the 30-day mortality in patients with supratentorial ICH treated conservatively but also treated by clot lysis. Compared to conservatively treated patients with supratentorial ICH the fibrinolytic therapy reduced the 30-day mortality in the patients with ICH-Score 1-4. Patients with ICH-Score 5 do not have a benefit of the fibrinolytic therapy and should no longer be considered to be surgical candidates.