gms | German Medical Science

50. Jahrestagung der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Medizinische Informatik, Biometrie und Epidemiologie (gmds)
12. Jahrestagung der Deutschen Arbeitsgemeinschaft für Epidemiologie (dae)

Deutsche Gesellschaft für Medizinische Informatik, Biometrie und Epidemiologie
Deutsche Arbeitsgemeinschaft für Epidemiologie

12. bis 15.09.2005, Freiburg im Breisgau

Age adjustment of cancer survival rates: methods, point estimates and standard errors

Meeting Abstract

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  • Hermann Brenner - Deutsches Zentrum für Alternsforschung, Heidelberg
  • Timo Hakulinen - Finnisches Krebsregister, Helsinki

Deutsche Gesellschaft für Medizinische Informatik, Biometrie und Epidemiologie. Deutsche Arbeitsgemeinschaft für Epidemiologie. 50. Jahrestagung der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Medizinische Informatik, Biometrie und Epidemiologie (gmds), 12. Jahrestagung der Deutschen Arbeitsgemeinschaft für Epidemiologie. Freiburg im Breisgau, 12.-15.09.2005. Düsseldorf, Köln: German Medical Science; 2005. Doc05gmds056

The electronic version of this article is the complete one and can be found online at: http://www.egms.de/en/meetings/gmds2005/05gmds111.shtml

Published: September 8, 2005

© 2005 Brenner et al.
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Outline

Text

Background

Age adjustment is a crucial component in valid comparison of cancer survival between populations or over time. Traditionally, age adjustment was mostly done by calculating a weighted average of age specific survival rates, with weights reflecting the age distribution of some standard cancer population [1], [2]. Recently, an alternative method of age adjustment was proposed to overcome practical and conceptual difficulties commonly encountered in this context: rather than calculating a weighted average of age specific survival rates, specific weights are individually assigned to all patients in different age groups in the first place, and one then carries out conventional survival analysis using the weighted individual data [3].

Material und Methods

To provide an empirical assessment and comparison of age adjusted absolute and relative survival rates obtained with the traditional and the alternative method, we applied age adjustment to an international standard cancer population of 5- and 10-year survival rates of patients diagnosed with 20 common forms of cancers in Finland.

Results

Point estimates and their standard errors obtained with both methods were almost identical for age adjusted 5- and 10-year absolute survival rates. However, the traditional age adjustment often altered the relative survival rates in a counterintuitive way. This pattern was particularly pronounced for the 10-year relative survival rates. For example, 10-year relative survival rates adjusted by the traditional method were often considerably lower than the crude estimates even if the age distribution of the standard cancer population was similar to or more favorable than the age distribution of the study population. The alternative method generally provided more meaningful point estimates with an often smaller standard error for the age adjusted relative survival rates.

Discussion

Application of the alternative method may enhance both validity and precision of comparative analyses of cancer patient survival. For both the alternative and the traditional methods, special analytical techniques have to be used, however, to derive valid estimates of standard errors of relative survival rates [4].


Literatur

1.
Black RJ, Swaminathan R. Statistical methods in the analysis of cancer survival data. In: Sankaranarayanan R, Black RJ, Parkin DM, eds. Cancer survival in developing countries. IARC Scientific Publications No. 145. Lyon: International Agency for Research on Cancer; 1998: 3-7.
2.
Verdecchia A, Capocaccia R, Santaquilani M, et al. Methods of survival data analysis and presentation issues. In: Berrino F, Capocaccia R, Estève J, et al., eds. Survival of cancer patients in Europe: the EUROCARE-2 study. IARC Scientific Publications No. 151. Lyon, International Agency for Research on Cancer; 1999: 41-45
3.
Brenner H, Arndt V, Gefeller O, Hakulinen T. An alternative approach to age adjustment of cancer survival rates. Eur J Cancer 2004; 40: 2317-22.
4.
Brenner H, Hakulinen T. Substantial overestimation of standard errors of relative survival rates. Am J Epidemiol (in press).